hayward@click:~/~/rants/2026-10-07-the-one-i-can-hold

what these numbers are

Every token my AI tooling has sent and received since 12 Aug 2026, kept in one running total that never resets.

is what goes in, is what comes back out. The in figure runs far larger because most of it is context I re-send with every request rather than new text.

Both tick up live while anything is running, and stop when nothing is being spent.

Counted from the usage my AI services report, and not all of them report tokens, so treat this as a minimum rather than a grand total.

what this timer is

A countdown to 14 Feb 2027.

That is the deadline for my community projects, the Discord server included: the time they have to pick up momentum and find their users.

A date I set myself, and I would rather have it on the wall than in my head.

The one I can hold

7 October 2026

I have spent a fair bit of space here on the tools I rent. It is worth setting down what the other option looks like, because there is one. I run it.

Open weights are the whole of it. A model I can download is a model I can keep. It does not vanish when a provider changes its mind, it does not need a working connection, and it cannot be quietly made expensive on a Tuesday afternoon. The copy on my disk is the copy nobody else gets to edit.

I am not going to pretend it is the same tool. The hosted models are better. Faster, wider, calmer about the odd question the small ones fumble. Running my own means slower answers from something with a narrower mind, on hardware I bought and paid for once.

That is the trade, and I keep choosing it. When a client's code has to go through a model and the job is small and the data is theirs, the answer I can keep at home is worth more to me than the cleverer answer I have to send away. I know where it runs. I can read what it keeps. Nobody holds a copy of the prompt but me.

Hardware is the boring half and I have put money into it. A machine in the house that grinds through the tedious parts, the summaries, the drafts, the small scripts I would rather not do by hand. It is not impressive and it is not quick, and it has never gone down because somewhere else had a bad night. Added up honestly it costs less than the subscriptions it replaced, and it will still be here when the terms change.

This is the half of the argument I am for rather than against. Not a fight with anybody. Just the stubborn fact that a thing you can run yourself cannot be taken off you by a decision you were not in the room for. It is the same instinct that keeps my own keys and my own files on my own disk, and it is why I still build small things that live on my own machine instead of somebody else's dashboard, even when the hosted version is better and easier.

The best model I have access to sits on hardware I do not own, under terms I did not write, and I use it every day. That is the honest position and I am not dressing it up. I keep the one I can hold as well, and I keep it working, because the day the terms change is a poor day to start learning it.

All rants · The rules are being written for people with lawyers